Liga MX Apertura Round 6

FC Juárez vs Toluca analysis

FC Juárez Toluca
71 ELO 79
-5.4% Tilt -13.1%
819º General ELO ranking 332º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.8%
FC Juárez
26.2%
Draw
47%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
FC Juárez
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47%
Win probability
Toluca
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Juárez
-2%
+23%
Toluca

ELO progression

FC Juárez
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Juárez
FC Juárez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
22%
27%
52%
71 84 13 0
23 Jul. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
57%
25%
19%
71 77 6 0
16 Jul. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
39%
28%
33%
71 74 3 0
09 Jul. 2022
TIJ
Tijuana
0 - 2
FC Juárez
JUA
52%
27%
21%
70 75 5 +1
03 Jul. 2022
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
68%
20%
12%
70 82 12 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2022
LEO
León
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
58%
22%
20%
79 83 4 0
24 Jul. 2022
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
44%
25%
31%
79 83 4 0
14 Jul. 2022
AME
América
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
54%
23%
23%
79 84 5 0
10 Jul. 2022
TOL
Toluca
3 - 2
Atlas FC
ATS
46%
25%
29%
79 82 3 0
03 Jul. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 3
Toluca
TOL
41%
26%
33%
78 78 0 +1