FC Juárez vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
0 - 1
TIG
22%
27%
52%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 1
QRO
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TIJ
0 - 2
JUA
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
JUA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |