Igea Virtus vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 4
FCI
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 1
POM
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCI
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
1 - 1
TUR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
FCI
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 3
GRA
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
6 - 2
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |