FC Gueugnon vs Saint-Apollinaire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
9º
27
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 6
FCG
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 0
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 0
FCG
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 2
FCG
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 0
BFC
34%
25%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 2
BFC
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
APO
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
DIJ
19%
21%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 0
APO
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |