FC Gueugnon vs Rumilly Vallières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
58
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VES
1 - 3
FCG
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 3
YZE
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 1
FCG
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 0
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CSL
0 - 0
FCG
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rumilly Vallières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RVA
2 - 0
LCG
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RVA
2 - 0
DIJ
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VES
1 - 5
RVA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RVA
8 - 0
YZE
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 1
RVA
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |