Groningen vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 0
SCH
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 3
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |