Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
SGD
43%
24%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 2
BRU
25%
24%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
GRO
4 - 0
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
KSC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
VVV
3 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
3 - 1
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |