Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 3
PSV
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 0
SCH
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 3
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
HER
3 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |