FC Grenchen vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
13º
13º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BIN
3 - 2
FCG
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 2
MUT
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BUB
4 - 1
FCG
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
RSZ
5 - 0
FCG
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 1
ZOF
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
BIN
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 2
LIE
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 4
LIE
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
BUB
79%
13%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RSZ
4 - 0
LIE
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |