Gonio vs Zestafoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
BAK
1 - 2
GON
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GON
6 - 0
BOR
59%
21%
21%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
LTB
1 - 3
GON
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
GON
3 - 0
GUR
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
GON
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ZES
3 - 2
MAT
47%
22%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ZES
1 - 0
BAK
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
ZES
51%
21%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ZES
0 - 2
LTB
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
GUR
4 - 1
ZES
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |