FC Falke vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BAY
3 - 1
FCF
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
FCF
0 - 1
SCS
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
NUR
1 - 1
FCF
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FCF
2 - 2
WEI
35%
25%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 2
FCF
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 2
QUF
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ANS
4 - 0
BAY
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FUR
1 - 2
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
3 - 1
TSV
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |