Etoile Sporting vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 0
FCE
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCE
4 - 5
FCF
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 5
LIE
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALL
6 - 0
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCE
3 - 4
NEX
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
LYS
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
MOU
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 1
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 3
MOU
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |