ESPM vs Tune analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESPM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 5
BFR
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 5
SOL
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tune
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TIF
0 - 5
OBK
2%
7%
91%
|
12 | 75 | 63 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TIF
4 - 1
FRE
9%
13%
79%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +4 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
TIF
1 - 5
TAR
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | -1 |