Viareggio Calcio vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 0
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 3
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOC
1 - 0
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 1
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 1
ASC
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 2
LAQ
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 1
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 0
LAQ
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 2
LAQ
68%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |