Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
STU
1 - 2
ERZ
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
0 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
SSV
2 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SGD
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
OSN
4 - 1
BAY
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SVS
3 - 2
OSN
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OSN
0 - 0
WEH
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
STU
0 - 1
OSN
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
WER
0 - 1
OSN
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |