Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
ERZ
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ING
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COT
6 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AAA
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
KSC
1 - 1
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MUN
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
MSV
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
OSN
2 - 2
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
BOC
3 - 0
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 4
SGF
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |