Erzgebirge Aue vs Lok Stendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FSV
3 - 0
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
0 - 1
TEN
35%
26%
38%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REI
4 - 0
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BIS
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lok Stendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
1 - 0
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
1 - 0
FCU
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SSV
2 - 0
LAS
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
0 - 1
ERF
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
1 - 1
FSV
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |