Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
3 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 1
WUR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 1
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 3
F95
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
3 - 1
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
F95
0 - 0
HSV
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
EBT
2 - 4
HSV
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
5 - 0
OSN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |