Erzgebirge Aue vs Dresdner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 0
ERZ
34%
27%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
4 - 2
HAM
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VER
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ROT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
WAT
2 - 1
ERZ
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dresdner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BOR
6 - 1
DRE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
DRE
1 - 3
DIE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
HOL
3 - 1
DRE
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DRE
0 - 0
HAM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
VER
0 - 2
DRE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |