Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs Hertha BSC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
69.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
23
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
1 - 1
HAN
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 2
RWE
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TBB
2 - 2
ERA
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 1
SVF
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
HER
3 - 3
BOR
46%
21%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 2
HER
47%
21%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DDR
2 - 2
HER
13%
17%
71%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OSN
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 3
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |