FC Erlensee vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
19%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
15º
40
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
65 | 74 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 74 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 67 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 63 |
4º
|
88% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 59 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 50 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 46 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
RWW
1 - 0
FCE
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 4
BAY
61%
18%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
FCE
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 1
VIK
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 4
OFC
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 4
HSC
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
SVA
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RWW
5 - 3
WAL
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 5
BAY
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
SGK
3 - 1
WAL
6%
10%
84%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | -2 |