FC Erlensee vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
17º
67
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
4 - 2
FCE
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
FCE
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EDD
1 - 0
FCE
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 1
FER
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAU
6 - 0
HSC
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 2
BAU
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 4
BAU
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAU
5 - 2
RWW
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
BAU
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |