Oberliga Hessen Round 16

FC Erlensee vs KSV Baunatal analysis

FC Erlensee KSV Baunatal
25 ELO 22
3.3% Tilt -6.7%
9648º General ELO ranking 5447º
460º Country ELO ranking 271º
ELO win probability
55.8%
FC Erlensee
20.3%
Draw
23.9%
KSV Baunatal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
FC Erlensee
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.9%
Win probability
KSV Baunatal
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Erlensee
-1%
-23%
KSV Baunatal

ELO progression

FC Erlensee
KSV Baunatal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Erlensee
FC Erlensee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2021
FCE
FC Erlensee
1 - 0
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
45%
21%
34%
23 24 1 0
23 Oct. 2021
BAU
KSV Baunatal
1 - 1
FC Erlensee
FCE
45%
22%
32%
23 22 1 0
16 Oct. 2021
FCE
FC Erlensee
3 - 1
Fernwald
FER
56%
20%
24%
23 22 1 0
09 Oct. 2021
EIN
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1 - 2
FC Erlensee
FCE
74%
15%
12%
22 29 7 +1
03 Oct. 2021
FCE
FC Erlensee
3 - 2
Neuhof
NEU
80%
13%
8%
22 15 7 0

Matches

KSV Baunatal
KSV Baunatal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2021
FER
Fernwald
0 - 4
KSV Baunatal
BAU
51%
21%
28%
22 21 1 0
23 Oct. 2021
BAU
KSV Baunatal
1 - 1
FC Erlensee
FCE
45%
22%
32%
22 23 1 0
16 Oct. 2021
SGB
Barockstadt
3 - 0
KSV Baunatal
BAU
83%
11%
6%
23 40 17 -1
09 Oct. 2021
BAU
KSV Baunatal
2 - 2
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
38%
23%
39%
22 25 3 +1
02 Oct. 2021
FCH
FC Hanau 93
3 - 1
KSV Baunatal
BAU
70%
17%
14%
23 27 4 -1