Esiliiga Round 16

FC Elva vs Viimsi JK analysis

FC Elva Viimsi JK
67 ELO 76
8.3% Tilt 7.4%
2388º General ELO ranking 1157º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.8%
FC Elva
26.7%
Draw
39.5%
Viimsi JK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
FC Elva
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
Viimsi JK
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Elva
+16%
+18%
Viimsi JK

Points and table prediction

FC Elva
Their league position
Viimsi JK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
50
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
56
83
87.5%
Viimsi JK
50
74
67.5%
Tartu Welco
46
69
67.5%
FC Elva
41
59
72.5%
FC Flora Tallin II
28
51
48.5%
FC Tallinn
31
49
45.5%
Nõmme Kalju II
29
43
48%
Levadia Tallinn II
23
38
60.5%
Tallinna Kalev II
14
28
87%
Tammeka II
10º
6
14
10º
99%
Expected probabilities
FC Elva
Viimsi JK
Promotion
0% 11%
Promotion play-offs
0% 67.5%
Mid-table
100% 21.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Elva
Viimsi JK
Tartu Welco
Tallinna Kalev II
FC Tallinn
Levadia Tallinn II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 5
FC Elva
FCE
64%
20%
16%
65 72 7 0
11 Jun. 2025
FAT
Tartu Kalev
1 - 2
FC Elva
FCE
24%
22%
54%
65 54 11 0
01 Jun. 2025
FCE
FC Elva
2 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
55%
23%
22%
65 60 5 0
29 May. 2025
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
0 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
71%
17%
13%
64 72 8 +1
22 May. 2025
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 1
FC Tallinn
FCT
50%
24%
26%
64 61 3 0

Matches

Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2025
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
0 - 3
Viimsi JK
VJK
25%
26%
49%
76 60 16 0
01 Jun. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
4 - 0
Tammeka II
TAM
74%
17%
9%
75 54 21 +1
29 May. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
1 - 0
Nõmme United
NOM
52%
23%
25%
75 68 7 0
25 May. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
2 - 4
Viimsi JK
VJK
19%
24%
57%
74 54 20 +1
17 May. 2025
FCT
FC Tallinn
0 - 2
Viimsi JK
VJK
30%
26%
44%
74 61 13 0