Esiliiga Round 26

FC Elva vs Harju JK Laagri analysis

FC Elva Harju JK Laagri
57 ELO 70
7.4% Tilt 4.3%
2320º General ELO ranking 1345º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.9%
FC Elva
19.5%
Draw
65.6%
Harju JK Laagri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
FC Elva
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.6%
Win probability
Harju JK Laagri
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Elva
+22%
-21%
Harju JK Laagri

Points and table prediction

FC Elva
Their league position
Harju JK Laagri
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harju JK Laagri
78
78
100%
Viimsi JK
75
75
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
66
66
100%
Tartu Welco
60
60
100%
FC Tallinn
53
53
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
44
44
100%
Tallinna Kalev II
42
42
100%
FC Elva
41
41
100%
Paide II
25
25
100%
Tabasalu Charma
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Elva
Harju JK Laagri
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Elva
Harju JK Laagri
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2024
THJ
Team Helm
1 - 5
FC Elva
FCE
11%
15%
74%
55 24 31 0
24 Aug. 2024
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 0
FC Elva
FCE
68%
19%
13%
55 65 10 0
20 Aug. 2024
FCE
FC Elva
3 - 1
Paide II
PAI
53%
22%
25%
54 49 5 +1
17 Aug. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
72%
18%
10%
54 68 14 0
10 Aug. 2024
FCT
FC Tallinn
3 - 4
FC Elva
FCE
72%
17%
11%
53 63 10 +1

Matches

Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
4 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
71%
17%
12%
70 58 12 0
21 Aug. 2024
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
2 - 6
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
22%
21%
57%
69 56 13 +1
17 Aug. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
1 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
61%
20%
18%
69 64 5 0
14 Aug. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
3 - 0
Nõmme United
NOM
51%
21%
29%
68 64 4 +1
10 Aug. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
1 - 3
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
49%
22%
29%
67 66 1 +1