Esiliiga B round 18

FC Elva vs Ararat analysis

FC Elva Ararat
43 ELO 49
19.9% Tilt 2.4%
2728º General ELO ranking 26664º
18º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
43.1%
FC Elva
23.6%
Draw
33.4%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
FC Elva
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.3%
Win probability
Ararat
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Elva
+41%
-10%
Ararat

ELO progression

FC Elva
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2013
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 1
Tammeka II
TAM
35%
23%
42%
44 51 7 0
06 Jul. 2013
JKJ
Alliance FC
3 - 3
FC Elva
FCE
39%
25%
35%
44 40 4 0
19 Jun. 2013
TJK
TJK Legion
3 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
48%
24%
28%
46 42 4 -2
15 Jun. 2013
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 2
Emmaste
EMM
36%
23%
41%
47 51 4 -1
12 Jun. 2013
FCE
FC Elva
3 - 2
TJK Legion
TJK
56%
21%
23%
46 43 3 +1

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2013
FCA
Ararat
3 - 0
TJK Legion
TJK
57%
21%
22%
48 44 4 0
26 Jun. 2013
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 2
Ararat
FCA
32%
25%
43%
47 38 9 +1
20 Jun. 2013
FCP
FC Pokkeriprod
1 - 6
Ararat
FCA
18%
19%
63%
47 8 39 0
01 Jun. 2013
SKA
Sillamäe Kalev II
0 - 0
Ararat
FCA
61%
20%
19%
47 50 3 0
25 May. 2013
FCA
Ararat
1 - 1
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
81%
12%
7%
47 26 21 0