Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-6
FC Drita vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
STB
3 - 2
FCD
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCK
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCD
69%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
DIF
2 - 3
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 0
DIF
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
STB
0 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
STB
3 - 2
FCD
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DBU
4 - 3
STB
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
SHK
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
SFC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |