Dila Gori vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
1º
19
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
43% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
41.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
MIL
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 3
GAR
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
ADU
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 2
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 1
TEL
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 2
GAG
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
GAG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
GAG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAB
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |