Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Dila Gori vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 2
GOR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
ZES
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FTK
3 - 2
GOR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 2
ZES
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
GOR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 0
ESB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 2
GOR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 2
MID
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 1
AGF
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |