FC Deren vs Ulaanbaatar City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
GEP
0 - 5
DER
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
DER
1 - 0
GFC
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
ULA
2 - 3
DER
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
DER
1 - 5
SPF
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DER
6 - 1
MAZ
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ULC
0 - 3
ATF
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KHA
2 - 1
ULC
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
ULC
2 - 3
ERC
26%
22%
52%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
MAZ
0 - 5
ULC
4%
10%
86%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ULC
4 - 0
GEP
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |