FC Deren vs Tuv Buganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 2
DER
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
ATF
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
KHC
2 - 6
DER
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
ERC
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
KHA
1 - 2
DER
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tuv Buganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TBF
1 - 4
ULC
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ATF
5 - 0
TBF
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |