Mongolia League Round 5

FC Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis

FC Deren FC Ulaanbaatar
29 ELO 33
-6.7% Tilt -10.9%
9603º General ELO ranking 9703º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.1%
FC Deren
23.9%
Draw
37%
FC Ulaanbaatar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
FC Deren
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37%
Win probability
FC Ulaanbaatar
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Deren
+13%
+10%
FC Ulaanbaatar

ELO progression

FC Deren
FC Ulaanbaatar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Deren
FC Deren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2022
SPF
SP Falcons
2 - 0
FC Deren
DER
50%
22%
28%
31 30 1 0
03 Apr. 2022
DER
FC Deren
0 - 1
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
54%
21%
25%
32 29 3 -1
11 Mar. 2022
ATF
Athletic 220 FC
0 - 2
FC Deren
DER
45%
25%
30%
32 32 0 0
06 Nov. 2021
DER
FC Deren
1 - 1
Athletic 220 FC
ATF
44%
23%
32%
32 32 0 0
03 Nov. 2021
KHC
Khovd
2 - 6
FC Deren
DER
36%
23%
41%
32 25 7 0

Matches

FC Ulaanbaatar
FC Ulaanbaatar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2022
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 - 1
Athletic 220 FC
ATF
50%
22%
28%
32 32 0 0
02 Apr. 2022
KHC
Khovd
0 - 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
26%
21%
53%
32 24 8 0
07 Nov. 2021
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 - 0
BCH Lions
BCH
83%
11%
6%
32 19 13 0
04 Nov. 2021
KHA
Khangarid
1 - 7
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
34%
23%
43%
32 24 8 0
03 Oct. 2021
MAZ
UB Mazaalaynuud
1 - 3
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
7%
13%
80%
31 9 22 +1