Eerste Divisie Round 20

Den Bosch vs Willem II analysis

Den Bosch Willem II
70 ELO 59
3.3% Tilt 5.5%
1496º General ELO ranking 378º
38º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
65.9%
Den Bosch
20%
Draw
14.2%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
Den Bosch
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
Willem II
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Den Bosch
-1%
-23%
Willem II

ELO progression

Den Bosch
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Den Bosch
Den Bosch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2012
VOL
FC Volendam
0 - 2
Den Bosch
BOS
45%
25%
30%
68 64 4 0
13 Jan. 2012
BOS
Den Bosch
3 - 0
SC Veendam
BVV
63%
21%
16%
68 59 9 0
16 Dec. 2011
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 4
Den Bosch
BOS
42%
26%
32%
67 63 4 +1
09 Dec. 2011
EIN
FC Eindhoven
2 - 2
Den Bosch
BOS
49%
24%
27%
67 65 2 0
02 Dec. 2011
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
45%
26%
29%
68 69 1 -1

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2012
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
FC Eindhoven
EIN
42%
24%
33%
59 65 6 0
16 Jan. 2012
MVV
MVV Maastricht
3 - 1
Willem II
WIL
56%
23%
22%
60 62 2 -1
18 Dec. 2011
WIL
Willem II
0 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
27%
23%
50%
60 71 11 0
09 Dec. 2011
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 1
Willem II
WIL
38%
26%
36%
61 56 5 -1
02 Dec. 2011
WIL
Willem II
2 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
52%
23%
26%
60 62 2 +1