Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 1
BOS
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 2
MVV
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 0
ZWO
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
SPA
4 - 0
EXC
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |