De Bilt vs Zuidvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
65.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
11º
10º
49
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 1
FCD
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 1
DEM
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HBO
2 - 4
FCD
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 1
MON
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
3 - 1
FCD
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zuidvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ZUI
1 - 2
ROD
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VVM
2 - 4
ZUI
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZUI
1 - 1
OLY
71%
16%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 4
ZUI
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZUI
1 - 3
BOL
72%
15%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |