De Bilt vs Nunspeet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
11º
10º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
FCD
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
5 - 2
HBO
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
FCD
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 1
ZOB
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
FCD
65%
18%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nunspeet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NUN
2 - 5
ROD
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VVM
1 - 3
NUN
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
6 - 1
NUN
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NUN
3 - 1
OLY
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 0
NUN
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |