Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-7
FC Daugava vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 0
FKD
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
LIE
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
FKJ
1 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 1
FCJ
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
TRO
3 - 3
STB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
RBK
3 - 1
TRO
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
LSK
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TRO
4 - 0
BBS
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |