Crotone vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
CRO
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 3
NOV
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
CRO
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SOR
4 - 1
TAM
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 3
USC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 1
SOR
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 1
ASG
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
SOR
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |