Crotone vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PIA
3 - 0
CRO
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
TRE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 0
ABN
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRG
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASC
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 2
VER
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |