Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
PES
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 2
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
MOD
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |