Crotone vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
LOD
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
5 - 2
VIT
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
2 - 2
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUS
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
MAR
2 - 4
TRA
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |