Crotone vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
REG
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
4 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEC
51%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
ASF
93%
5%
1%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
USC
3 - 0
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |