Crotone vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 3
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
BRE
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 2
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
SAS
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |