Crotone vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VER
3 - 2
CRO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
5 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
CES
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRO
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 3
LEO
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 2
LIV
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |