Crotone vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
CRO
16%
24%
61%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 0
GIU
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
ASC
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |