Crotone vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRO
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 1
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
UDI
4 - 0
CRO
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
USC
3 - 2
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CTT
1 - 1
NUO
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 3
CTT
23%
28%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 1
CTT
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 0
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |