Crotone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
5 - 2
CRO
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
LAT
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 3
JUS
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
PON
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LEO
69%
20%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |