Crotone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 1
FCC
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
CRO
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 3
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
CES
2 - 1
USC
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 0
CES
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |