FC Coburg vs TSV Abtswind analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
18º
16º
59
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Coburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 1
FCC
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REG
2 - 4
FCC
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAY
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
FEU
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AMM
1 - 4
FCC
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
TSV Abtswind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 0
TSV
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FEU
0 - 4
TSV
15%
20%
66%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
2 - 0
REG
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
AMM
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ELT
1 - 0
TSV
55%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |