FC Coburg vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
74.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
16º
16º
5
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 60 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 53 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 48 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 29 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 15 |
17º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Coburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCC
0 - 3
FSS
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SCG
0 - 1
FCC
43%
22%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 3
EIN
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
5 - 1
FCC
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 10
FCC
7%
14%
79%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
JRE
1 - 1
KOR
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
ELT
2 - 1
JRE
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
JRE
5 - 1
DJK
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ASV
2 - 1
JRE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
JRE
0 - 3
SPI
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |