FC Chibuto vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Chibuto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
FCC
40%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FER
4 - 4
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
6 - 0
SCN
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 0
FCC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAX
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
FER
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
FEN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
FER
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COS
1 - 0
FEN
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
HCB
33%
30%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |